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Senior Member
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現在可以回頭檢視翰墨爺今年3月1日的預言是否準確
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-an...isis-in-ukraine
引用:
It’s hard to say whether he’s going to go after the rest of Ukraine because—I don’t mean to nitpick here but—that implies that he wants to conquer all of Ukraine, and then he will turn to the Baltic states, and his aim is to create a greater Russia or the reincarnation of the Soviet Union. I don’t see evidence at this point that that is true. It’s difficult to tell, looking at the maps of the ongoing conflict, exactly what he’s up to. It seems quite clear to me that he is going to take the Donbass and that the Donbass is going to be either two independent states or one big independent state, but beyond that it’s not clear what he’s going to do. I mean, it does seem apparent that he’s not touching western Ukraine.
You don’t think he has designs on Kyiv?
No, I don’t think he has designs on Kyiv. I think he’s interested in taking at least the Donbass, and maybe some more territory and eastern Ukraine, and, number two, he wants to install in Kyiv a pro-Russian government, a government that is attuned to Moscow’s interests.
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從一開始的目標就是頓巴斯
原本就沒打算攻佔基輔
這些學術菁英看到的實況
跟ptt 或twitter所建構的世界很不一樣
我甚至懷疑 烏東打從一開始就被賣了 |