我沒有很挺川普。美國總統當然優先考慮美國利益。期望他們對臺灣友善是不是搞錯了什麼。

共和黨、民主黨態度全都一樣。保持兩岸的狀態將過時淘汰的武器裝備多賣點給臺灣，還要你們感恩戴德。有時不高興就不賣了。

其實美國總統誰當選，通常都有很清楚的脈絡。前一任只要醜聞纏身，下一任幾乎必定選一個看起來比較老實的人－－即使事後證明他很無能。前一任搞出龐大的赤字預算，下一任就會選個比較有經濟實蹟。這樣的例子不勝枚舉。

川普會當選，一般分析是選民對民主黨執政多數感到失望。只會打高空，呼口號，實際作為不多。若是很滿意不會丟掉政權。在多數不滿意之下還對歐巴馬有好評，是不是其中有什麼矛盾。

前陣子查了些卡特的事蹟，他退位後非常活躍。是個非常好的人－－但總統任內的評價依然不高，這兩件事並行不悖，毫無矛盾。

我只是想表達，川普說歐巴馬無能，其實也不算無的放矢，跟我挺不挺他毫無關係。事實上脫口秀也隱約流露出相同的意思。

上屆川普是輸了普選贏了大選,全國總得票數是輸給希拉蕊

他用了個很會打選戰的策士班農

此人精於怎樣幫川普拿到哪些族群的選票

美國總統選舉投票率通常都不高,常被嘲諷是少數人選出來的總統

上屆投票率只有五成六,意思是在五成中拿到過三成就贏,反正能贏就是

幹嘛走中間路線? 穩住基本盤,再開拓新票源

專攻三個搖擺州,美國選舉是要贏選舉人票

而且歐巴馬和希拉蕊太大意

他們一直認為川普是個小丑,不放他在眼裡

我記得川普贏得黨內初選時

歐巴馬的評論為"相信美國人的智慧"

暗示美國人不會選個跳梁小丑做總統



只是不知班農有沒有跟川普真的鬧翻

會不會歸隊再幫他操盤

繼上次Chinese virus，川普在造神大會上又為Covid19取了一個名字Kung Flu，用功夫的諧音

「這個病，毫無疑問的，有史上最多的名字，也可以叫它Kung Flu，我可以另外替這病取19個名字，很多人說這是病毒，的確是，很多人說是流感，有什麼不同呢？我想我們有19、20種名字。」

白宮幕僚曾經對亞裔記者說Kung Flu ，但川普本人是第一次公開使用這個歧視的用詞

小孩抵抗力超強，1月底禁大陸旅客抵美拯救數十萬人性命，怪了那現在220萬確診，死了12萬人是怎麼得？還在流感？

繼續睜眼說瞎話魔音穿腦講給川粉聽繼續歧視民調就會高

https://youtu.be/8_WeodMJI7s

總統自己就光明正大的種族歧視
川神一定要挺到底

CNN也說錯，BOK Center 最多19199人，看那畫面只來了體育館1/4 面還沒滿，頂多幾千人，哪來2萬人？

川普說是暴民影響安檢維安讓支持者進不來，但事實上場外早清空防止反川鬧事還有人穿我不能呼吸T恤被警方架走

而且本來主辦單位還怕人太多在戶外設電視牆，但眼看沒什麼人，在川普上台前就把它連舞台ㄧ起拆了

https://youtu.be/yC6POO23v-o

另外還有此一說在美陸都各有一億以上用戶的大陸軟體抖音(TikTok)也參一腳

川普造勢被惡搞！場內空盪盪 抖音屁孩與韓流網友：我們幹的

CNN也報導此事
Trump trolled by TikTok in Tulsa

https://i.imgur.com/2JG5lQAl.jpg

s大借我改一下

原因之一是歐巴馬的政策偏向千禧代，因此許多嬰兒潮代就轉向口號對他們來說更容易理解的川普。 最終像sclee網友說的讓川普在一些關鍵州以微弱優勢贏得選舉人票。

Tulsa 消防局最後統計三普造神大會人數是6200人，連體育場容納人數1/3都不到

ㄧ堆teens 在TikTok 發起訂票不去的活動奏效應該就是導致場子空盪盪主因，原先競辦經理說有100萬人訂票

https://t.co/oda751GG0U?amp=1

https://youtu.be/MtWVsKDgKxA

川普對此感到憤怒，難怪昨天結束後回白宮從陸戰隊一號下來可用沮喪兩字來形容

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/20...-rally-n1231674

https://youtu.be/-gOJQDW-ibU

波頓新書，完整台灣部分

Trump was particularly dyspeptic about Taiwan, having listened to Wall Street financiers who had gotten rich off mainland China investments. Although it came in several variations, one of Trump’s favorite comparisons was to point to the tip of one of his Sharpies and say, “This is Taiwan,” then point to the Resolute desk and say, “This is China.” So much for American commitments and obligations to another democratic ally. Taiwan very much wanted a free-trade agreement with the US, which generated absolutely no interest that I could discern. China pounded away during my tenure, sensing weakness at the top, doubtless having heard from those Wall Street financial types. Yang Jiechi, in our November 8 meeting, gave me the customary lecture about Taiwan’s being the most important and sensitive issue in US-China relations. Remarkably, he said that we had a mutual stake in preventing Taiwanese independence as if we were co-conspirators, which I certainly didn’t believe. He talked endlessly about the “one China” policy, which he mischaracterized in Beijing’s favor. At the Buenos Aires dinner, Xi urged us to be prudent on Taiwan, which Trump agreed he would be alert to, meaning we escaped with our lives. I was delighted the discussion was so brief.

大阪G20峰會，習近平再提台灣議題，說那是關乎中國主權以及國家完整，警告我們整個雙邊關係可能會瓦解，習近平敦促我們不要讓台灣總統蔡英文訪問美國，或許軍售台灣，這總是讓我火大，這兩項習近平認為是穩定台海的關鍵，多數習近平的立場違反台灣關係法，授權美國軍售台灣足以自衛，包括重要的F16軍售，大幅度提升台灣的防衛能力。

Xi returned to Taiwan at Osaka, saying it involved Chinese sovereignty and national integrity, and warning that our entire bilateral relationship could become unhinged. He asked for Trump’s personal attention to the issue, probably figuring he had identified his mark and wasn’t going to let him get away. Always infuriating to me, Xi urged that we not allow Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen to travel to the United States, or to sell arms to Taiwan, both of which Xi deemed critical for stability across the Taiwan Strait. Much of Xi’s position directly contradicted the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979, US legislation that authorizes US arms sales to Taiwan for purposes of self-defense, including an important sale of F-16s to significantly upgrade Taiwan’s defense capabilities. In fact, Taiwan was far from behaving belligerently. Quite the contrary. Dan Quayle told me in October that Taiwan had shrunk its military dramatically, by more than half in recent years, which struck me as a huge mistake.

龐佩奧遲遲沒有通知國會台灣F-16軍售，擔心除了川普每次對於對台軍售的抱怨，這次他可能真的拒絕執行，比起對烏克蘭的軍售，這沒那麼稀奇，我們擬定策略要說服川普，讓前南卡眾議員，幕僚長穆瓦你尼也加入，波音主要的廠設在南卡。2019年8月13日下午，跟川普電話會議後，我們告訴他不對台軍售的政治後座力，而美國政府不需要補助、也不需要外援，台灣完整支付80億美元的F-16費用，還在南卡創造很多就業機會，我們還提醒他最好快一點進行，在香港(反送中)有什麼戲劇化發展前，川普問「你們有想過不軍售嗎？」我們當然都說沒有，最後川普終於說「好，但得悄悄執行，約翰(波頓)你不打算對這件事發表演說吧？」我當然想都沒想過，但其實我應該這麼做才對。

Pompeo was holding back a congressional notification on the F-16 sale, worried that, in addition to generally grousing, as Trump did on all Taiwan sales, this time he might actually refuse to proceed with it. Given our delicate circumstances on military sales to Ukraine, this was not fanciful. We strategized on persuading Trump and got Mick Mulvaney on board, as a former congressman from South Carolina, a state with major Boeing manufacturing facilities. On August 13, in an afternoon conference call with Trump at Bedminster, we explained the enormous political blowback if the sale didn’t proceed. There was no US subsidy or foreign aid involved, and Taiwan was paying full costs for the F-16s, for a total sales price of $8 billion and lots of jobs in South Carolina. We also said it was better to go forward now, before something dramatic happened in Hong Kong. Trump asked, “Did you ever give any thought to not making the sale?” to which, of course, the answer was no. Trump finally said, “Okay, but do it quietly. John, you’re not going to give a speech about it, are you?” which I actually hadn’t thought about. But I probably should have.

在我離開白宮後，川普背棄敘利亞庫德族，有人在猜誰是下一個他背棄的，台灣名列前茅，只要川普還是總統，恐怕那排名不會改變，這不是讓人樂見的可能。

After I left the White House, when Trump abandoned the Kurds in Syria, there was speculation about who he might abandon next. Taiwan was right near the top of the list, and would probably stay there as long as Trump remained President, not a happy prospect.

https://i.imgur.com/jXl7M3Jl.jpg